Construction News Archive: July 2003
 

Bank Loses Its Confidence With Project 95% Complete

It is a sign of how little confidence some lenders have in smaller contractors. A bank recently forced a medium-sized general contractor to terminate its work on a new building at Western Kentucky University’s Bowling Green campus even though the project was 95% complete and proceeding on schedule. Planter’s Bank of Hopkinsville, Ky., used a $419,000 deposit by Star Construction to pay off most of that contractor’s $500,000 revolving line of credit.

Bank officials could not be reached for comment, but Star’s financial statement showed a loss. The bank 'obviously felt its loan was in jeopardy,' says Tracey Durham, the contractor’s bookkeeper, who adds that Star has been trying to convince the bank to release funds so it can pay subcontractors.

Madisonville, Ky.-based Star had a $14.6-million contract for a media and technology centre at the university that included a number of change orders. Formed in 1984, the contractor now employs 16 people and had $10 million in revenue last year. It has built jails, post offices and hospitals.

Acuity, a Sheboygan, Wis., surety bond firm on some Star projects, gives the contractor a vote of confidence. Greg Olsen, Acuity director of surety claims, says Star has a good reputation and has not experienced problems on any jobs for which the surety firm provided bonds. 'The work on this particular project has been done extremely well,' he says.

Rising bank foreclosures against contractors are a symptom of the tighter economy, Olsen notes. 'Unfortunately, this is becoming a more common occurrence in these days. In the go-go 90s, this didn’t happen because the next project was always there,' he says.

Although Star lost the project and is now suffering financially, the company’s owners are continuing to search for work and are bidding 'to keep the doors open,' says Durham. 'This is the hardest thing. We’ve never defaulted on a note. We’re going to make it through this. It’s in the Lord’s hands now.'

Acuity has hired Merit Construction, a larger contractor based in Knoxville, Tenn., to finish the state-financed job. A punch-list of finish work will be completed by late July.

A state official involved in the project says delays have been minimal.

By Jonathan Barnes (Photo courtesy of Sheryl Hagan-Booth/WKU)


Private Sector puts Brakes on Construction Growth

Private sector growth is forecast to fall sharply over the next three years according to the Construction Products Association's latest Construction Industry Forecasts, with output in 2003 forecast to grow by just 1.9%, dropping to 1% in 2004, with a slight rise in 2005 to 1.1%.
 
Commenting on the figures, Michael Ankers, the Association's Chief Executive, said:  'Last year saw buoyant private sector activity which, combined with increased Government investment, generated an 8% increase, the largest annual increase since 1988. However, weaker private sector activity is now forecast to cut back overall industry growth over the next three years.  A cooling in the general housing market and slower house price inflation is set to pull back private housing starts from 167,000 this year to 155,000 in 2005, and slow the growth in home improvement works.


 
'Private commercial output is also forecast to slow over the next two years. Falling uptake and increased availability in the key office markets, following retrenchment in the media and financial services sectors, has depressed the flow of new orders for office projects.As a result, office construction activity is forecast to turn down sharply as existing projects are completed, with some schemes awaiting tenants before proceeding to fit-out. Furthermore, weaker consumer spending growth is forecast to dampen retail and leisure construction activity, causing commercial activity to fall by 6.5% in 2003, and 4.0% in 2004.
 
'Our Forecasts show that the construction industry will be very much dependent upon the Government's investment plans for its growth over the next three years, with public sector growth (including PFI) forecast to increase by 6.3% this year, slowing to 5.7% in 2004 and 4.3% in 2005. However, Government has failed to meet its own targets over the last two years, and the recent decision to allow schools to use their capital funding to meet shortfalls in their revenue budgets, has set a worrying precedent that has dented industry confidence in Government's commitment to deliver.'


New Ministerial Team at the Department of Trade and Industry

Trade and Industry Secretary Patricia Hewitt recently announced the responsibilities of the new Ministerial team at the DTI.

She said: 'This is a very strong team to drive our agenda of achieving prosperity for all by creating the best environment for business success.

'I am delighted to welcome Jacqui Smith, Mike O'Brien and Gerry Sutcliffe to the DTI. They bring a wealth of experience and skills to the team.

'I would also like to pay tribute to the work of Brian Wilson who retired from Government last week to live a more normal life.

'He leaves behind a strong legacy - an energy policy based on low carbon and energy from sustainable sources. The strengthened oil and gas industries owe much to his support and work.'

Ministerial responsibilities:

The Rt Hon Patricia Hewitt, Secretary of State for Trade and Industry and Minister for Women and Equality.

Overall responsibility for the department.

Ministers of State:


Stephen Timms, Minister for Energy, E-Commerce and Postal Services

Energy and Sustainable Development
E-Commerce
Communications and Information Industries
Postal Services
Corporate Social Responsibility

Jacqui Smith, Minister for Industry and the Regions and Deputy Minister for Women and Equality

Industry
Regions
Women and Equality
Corporate Governance (incl. company law and investigations)
European Policy

Mike O'Brien, (joint DTI/FCO Minister), Minister for Trade and Investment

British Trade International
Trade Policy
ECGD
South Asia, South East Asia, Afghanistan, North America
Spokesman on Middle East in the House of Commons

Parliamentary Under Secretaries of State:

Nigel Griffiths, Minister for Small Business and Enterprise

Small Business Service
Social Enterprise
Export Control and Non-Proliferation
Construction Industry
Consumer Goods and Services
GM Foods
Support to Stephen Timms on Energy and Sustainable Development

Lord David Sainsbury, Minister for Science and Innovation

Office of Science and Technology
Innovation Policy
DTI interest in education and skills
British National Space Centre
National Weights and Measures Laboratory
Bioscience and Chemicals (except GM foods)
Patent Office

Gerry Sutcliffe, Minister for Employment Relations, Competition and
Consumers

Employment Relations (including Employment Tribunal Service,
ACAS, Low Pay Commission)
Competition Policy
Consumer Policy
Insolvency Service
Companies House
Support to Jacqui Smith on European Policy
Support to Jacqui Smith on Corporate Governance (including company
law and investigations)


UK Construction and Housebuilding Sector one of the Best Performers in the FTSE All-Share

Despite the slowdown in the housing market, the UK Construction and Housebuilding sector has been one of the best performers in the FTSE All-Share so far this year.

The sector is ranked third out of the All-Share's sub-indices, with a total return of 28.08% from the start of the year to 10th June.

Martin Cholwill, UK equity income fund manager at Axa Investment Managers, believes the construction industry is favoured by current conditions as it benefits from interest rates.

However, Keith Burdon, UK investment manager at Britannic Asset Management, says there is a higher likelihood interest rates will increase early next year following Chancellor Gordon Brown's announcement the UK will not join the euro in the short term. Because Europe has lower interest rates than the UK, the Bank of England (BoE) will be expected to keep rates low prior to any referendum on the euro. Now that the possibility of a referendum this year has been eliminated, Burdon feels the market is expecting rates to be increased.

Another factor facilitating the increase in interest rates is the Chancellor's announcement the housing market will no longer form part of the official inflation measure. Burdon says: 'This will create less fluctuation in inflation and enable the Government to better measure underlying inflation.'

This will relieve pressure on the BoE to change interest rates without having a big rise or decrease in inflation, he adds.

Cholwill believes the BoE will not raise rates this year because it wants to avoid a recession and curb deflationary pressures.

The managers agree recent declines in housing prices are of no concern to the construction sector. Cholwill says affordability ratios are not high, meaning there is still room for prices to stretch further.

Burdon says although growth in the housing market is slowing, its projected growth remains high, at 5%-10% this year. Moreover, government-mandated construction projects such as a new terminal at Heathrow Airport will continue to lend support to the sector.

According to Burdon, valuations in the sector are somewhat low because of concerns over the cyclical boom-bust nature of the industry. 'In the past, the sector has been susceptible to booms and busts but despite the market doing so well, there are no signs of a bust,' he says. 'This is because interest rates and unemployment are not going to increase drastically.

'Unemployment has increased in the private sector but extra labour has been absorbed by the public sector.'

Construction companies' low valuations have attracted investors who were reluctant to spend during the Iraq war, according to Cholwill.

He says: 'Investors in the market are becoming less risk averse because the uncertainties at the beginning of the year are starting to clear.

'During the Iraq war, some investors were sitting on cash and now the war is over they are starting to invest again, so we are seeing a boost in sectors such as mid and small-caps, as well as housing.'

Both Cholwill and Burdon favour companies like construction firm Wolseley because of what they describe as good management and exposure to both the UK and US markets.


Barbour Report 2003: Influencing Clients - the Importance of the Client in Product Selection

The annual Barbour Report research programme, now in its eleventh year, seeks to investigate industry issues pertinent to Manufacturers and derives the subject of the study through focus groups with a cross-section of leading building material suppliers.

The Barbour focus groups, held in conjunction with the Construction Products Association, highlighted that rather than simply marketing to Specifiers, Manufacturers increasingly need to influence Clients to ensure their products become and remain specified. It was felt that the Client's growing influence has been compounded by the Government's focus on Clients to 'accelerate change' in the Industry. Innovative products are increasingly demanded, but it often proves difficult to get these adopted and Manufacturers are keen to ensure their investment can be recouped over time.

This year's research sought to examine and quantify the growing influence of Clients in product and brand specification. The research, based on a series of in-depth interviews with Clients across the construction spectrum whose projects account for 30% of the entire industry by value, sought to answer the following critical questions:

*Who within the Client makes product decisions?
*Which types of Client favour partnering agreements with Manufacturers?
*How many Clients have approved lists and how do you get on them?
*How often do Clients make the final decision on brand?
*What are the key factors in product selection?
*How likely are Clients to try new and innovative products?
*How should Clients be approached?

Highlights include:

Client control:
*Design is undertaken in-house by 44% of all Clients, or 59% of Housebuilders - Clients are assuming a high degree of control over the specification process for their buildings.
*Where third party professionals such as Architects are used, they are typically drawn from a Client's approved list, again emphasising the control that Clients are exercising over their buildings.

Client brand decisions:
*One-third of Clients include product preferences in their initial brief.
*Clients make 37% of all brand decisions, which has significantly increased since Barbour's last Client study in 1995. Now, 7 out of 10 of all Clients have some involvement in brand recommendation.
*The percentage of Clients with approved product lists has increased from 46% in 1995 to 58% - most brands recommended by Clients originate from their approved lists.
*Either the Architect or the Contractor challenges 40% of Clients' brand specifications, although Clients do not always agree with their suggestions.

Influencing factors:
*In order of importance, the key criteria affecting product selection are health and safety, lifecycle costs, initial price, sustainability and the relationship with the supplier.
*Around one-third expect sustainability, health and safety and lifecycle costs to become even more important. 40% would like to see the sustainability of products improved.
*20% of leading Client organisations have established partnering relationships with manufacturers.
*Prefabrication is now used by 47% of Clients.
*Refurbishment accounts for 51% of all Clients' construction expenditure and 62% of Clients have planned refurbishment programmes, offering repeat purchase opportunities for manufacturers.
*Clients are resistant to using innovative products - only 23% are willing to try products new to the market and only 4% frequently do so. Housebuilders are most prepared to consider new products.

Reaching Clients:

*Manufacturers will be pleased to hear that 74% of Clients would like to be contacted by them, however, they would prefer this to be initially in the form of hard copy literature.
*46% of Clients use product directories as their first reference point when sourcing products.

Conclusions
Building Product Manufacturers need to be aware of the increasingly influential role of Clients across all construction sectors, in brand specification and recommendation. While 40% of specifications made by Clients are subsequently challenged, Clients remain responsible for 37% of all brand decisions, particularly in Fit Out and Finish and M&E Services. In addition, the products selected are increasingly drawn from their approved lists.

The research highlights significant variances in approach across the eleven Client sectors studied, with Housebuilders exerting the greatest influence in product and brand selection, followed by Local Government and the Retail Sector.

Those least involved are Housing Associations and Central Government. However, they continue to operate approved lists of products, and the majority of their product decisions are made from these lists.

Although Clients remain risk averse with only 4% frequently specifying innovative products, the Client audience researched demonstrated a strong desire for product information. 74% want to be contacted directly by Manufacturers on product developments and enhancements.

In communicating with Clients, there is a marked preference for tailored hard copy information with clear reasons and benefits for individual product consideration.

While the weighting of priorities varies across product type and Client organisation, the key factors for Manufacturer differentiation and competitive advantage were identified as health and safety, lifecycle costs and sustainability, in addition to the inevitable issue of price.

In terms of marketing channels, while individual Client groups have vastly differing requirements, product directories are the primary destination across all sectors when sourcing product and supplier information.

Clients value their relationships with product Manufacturers in a market where product differentiation is finite; these relationships are a critical factor in brand selection.

Client advisors play an important role, and Clients tend to work with the same companies on repeat projects. The extent of involvement and influence of external advisors varies according to the product type, but Clients often take advice on products from their Specifier and Contractor team members.

In targeting Clients, these frequently used external advisors such as Architects and Contractors should also be identified. With the resistance of Clients in incorporating new or innovative products, the influence and endorsement of these external advisors assumes even greater importance.

Clients are a growing force in the construction industry, and Barbour conclude that this trend is set to continue. For Building Product Manufacturers there is an implicit requirement to communicate and influence these important decision makers. It is also apparent that Clients are not homogenous and Manufacturers need to tailor their approach based on both their product area and their target Client customer.

That said, the attitudinal and working practice changes envisaged and signposted by 'Re-thinking Construction' and 'Accelerating Change' are being adopted.

Clients are assuming and exerting greater control over the choice of products going into their buildings, and Manufacturers are well advised to ensure effective, on-going communication with this diverse, but increasingly influential group.

Web: http://www.barbour-index.co.uk


New Construction Orders Produce £2.8bn in April

Orders in the twelve months to April 2003 rose by nine per cent compared to orders in the previous twelve months, though orders in the three months to April 2003 fell by two per cent compared to the same three months a year earlier.

Orders in the three months to April 2003 fell by seven per cent compared to the previous three months, with falls in all sectors except infrastructure and private industrial orders. During the twelve months to April 2003, there were rises in all sectors except private industrial and infrastructure

New orders in April increased 25% year-on-year from £2.2bn to £2.8bn.

Public and private housing were well ahead year-on-year, increasing by 26% and 24% respectively. At £795m, the latter's total its highest since January.
The other public sector surged ahead by 44% to £451m, driven by 58% boost in government spending on schools and colleges.

Infrastructure experienced an explosion of 140% to reach £685m. That's the second highest total of the year, spurred on by a doubling of water orders and the other subsector (gas, communications, air, harbours and railways) accelerating by 440%.

Public non-housing orders (excluding infrastructure) in the twelve months to April 2003 rose by 40 per cent when compared with the previous twelve months. Orders in the three months to April 2003 fell by 23 per cent compared with the previous period, but were 27 per cent higher compared to the same three months twelve months earlier. The large increases and decreases were due to an exceptionally high figure for the public miscellaneous sector in December 2002 and a relatively high figure for the same sector in February 2003.

Private commercial orders in the twelve months to April 2003 were five per cent higher compared to the previous twelve months. Orders in the three months to April 2003 were 25 per cent lower compared to the previous period, and were 15 per cent lower than in the same three months twelve months earlier.

Private industrial orders in the twelve months to April 2003 fell by nine per cent compared with the previous twelve months. Orders in the three months to April 2003 were 14 per cent higher than in the previous period, but were seven per cent lower compared to the same period twelve months earlier.

In the four months of the year-to-date, total new orders are ahead nearly 10% at £11.9bn.


Public housing £106m (2002: £84m )
Private housing £795m (£639m)
Infrastructure £685m (£285m)
Other public £451m (£313m)
Private industrial £190m (£235m)
Private commercial £637m (£730m)
Total £2,864m (£2,286m)


NHBC - UK New House Building Statistics: May 2003

Statistics released on 11th June by NHBC (National House-Building Council) show UK applications to build new homes decreased by 10 per cent in May 2003 when compared with figures for May last year.

In May 2003 15,170 applications to start new homes in the UK were made for the combined public and private sectors, down 10 per cent on the same month in 2002 (16,903). Private sector starts for the month fell to 13,627 showing an 11 per cent decrease on May 2002 (15,340). There were 1,543 UK housing association applications, a one per cent decrease on May of the previous year (1,563).

Imtiaz Farookhi, chief executive of NHBC, says: 'May showed a ten per cent drop in the number of applications to start new homes and a modest one per cent increase in the number of completions. However, the number of housing association starts so far this year show a thirteen per cent increase on last year, suggesting encouraging growth in this area.'

New build completions for the combined public and private sectors totalled 13,621 in May 2003, a one per cent increase on the same month last year (13,491).

Additional information from NHBC reveals that an average of 497 new homes were sold each day during May 2003, a 15 per cent decrease on the same month last year (582).


Output increased 7% in the first quarter

Construction output increased by 7% year-on-year in the first quarter of this year from £19.6bn to £21bn, according to the latest data from the Department of Trade & Industry.

The figure is the highest ever recorded in the first quarter. Output from new work was 5.1% higher year-on-year, rising from £10.5bn to £11.1bn, while output from repair, maintenance and improvement (RMI) was up 9.2% from £9bn to nearly £9.9bn.

In new work, both private housing and other public were ahead by more than 20% to £2.8bn and £1.8bn respectively. Public housing was up 6.6% to £448m, while private industrial and private commercial were both down at £803m and £3.4bn respectively.

In fact the private industrial sector posted its lowest total in the past four years, while private commercial's total was the lowest since the third quarter of 2001.

Infrastructure fell by 10.6% year-on-year from £2bn to just shy of £1.8bn, its lowest total since the second quarter of 2001.

All four RMI sectors grew, with public housing and other public reaching all-time highs at nearly £1.8bn and £3bn respectively. Private housing RMI was up 12.5% year-on-year to nearly £3.2bn, a record for the first quarter, while other private RMI was up just 5.2% year-on-year to £3bn, also a first quarter record.


UK Construction to Net £728m if Olympic 2012 Bid Wins

The UK construction industry can look forward to work worth at least £728m, a third of the overall cost of staging the Olympics, if London is successful in its bid to host the 2012 Games.

The money would be spent on land assembly costs, the construction of new sporting venues and the infrastructure required to facilitate staging the event, which is estimated to cost some £2.3bn.

Broken down further the capital cost of infrastructure and facilities would total £403m, while expenditure on land purchase and residual value, including the value of remaining buildings and infrastructure, would be £325m.

The figures are contained in a study by engineering consultant Arup in its report 'London Olympics 2012 Costs and Benefits' prepared for the government, the Mayor of London and the British Olympics Association.

The UK construction industry would benefit from a works bonanza as far as developments and regeneration, transport and accommodation is concerned.
The overwhelming majority of the investment in physical facilities for the Olympics will be located in the Olympic Zone earmarked for a derelict site in Lower Lee Valley, east London. Work would involve the construction of the Olympic Village, an 80,000-capacity stadium, swimming pool and warm-up track - which could be converted to low-cost housing at a later date.

As for accommodation, up to 100,000 hotel and hostel rooms will be required to house competitors, the media and spectators. Arup estimates that by 2012 double that figure will have been built.


London Leads House Price Slide

House prices have fallen for three months in a row with the biggest drop in the south of England, according to the latest figures.

In the three months to April, 31% more surveyors reported a fall in prices in the UK than reported a rise, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) said.
The prospects for house sellers appear to be worsening with April's price falls dwarfing those of February and March.

But surveyors in London reported renewed interest from house buyers after the end of the war with Iraq.

North-south divide
In April, 51% more surveyors in the capital reported that house prices were falling rather than rising.

'Uncertainty has been the underlying cause behind the depressed figures of the last three months.' said Jeremy Leaf, RICS spokesman.

And the majority of surveyors in the South East, East Anglia and the South West reported that prices were either static or falling.

But in the north of England price growth remained strong with 62% of surveyors reporting increases.

House prices in the North West, Yorkshire and Humberside also increased markedly.

Returning confidence?
But house sellers in the capital will be cheered by the news that surveyors in London noted the first rise in buyer enquiries since last September, and confidence was the highest recorded for more than four years.

'It's encouraging to see a return to confidence in the market,' said RICS housing spokesman Jeremy Leaf.

'Uncertainty has been the underlying cause behind the depressed figures of the last three months, but we expect stable sales conditions to return this summer.'

Recently, a report from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation suggested that a crisis in the supply of housing across the south of England would put home ownership beyond the reach of public sector and low-paid workers. Mr Leaf's comments were echoed by economists at Capital Economics.

'We doubt whether the housing market boom will come to such an abrupt end halt as surveyors are suggesting,' said Sabina Kalyan.

But she cautioned: 'Today's numbers... are a powerful sign of the severity, if not the correct timing, of the correction that we can expect.'

Last week RICS said it believed that prices would recover during the second half of this year with continuing low interest rates making home ownership attractive for many.

Overall, RICS predicted that house prices would rise by 10% during 2003 - down from close to 30% last year but still more than three times the rate of inflation.


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